ASVAB (Armed Services Vocational Aptitude Battery)Paragraph Comprehension (PC)Hard
Read the following passage: "The concept of 'confirmation bias' describes the human tendency to search for, interpret, favor, and recall information in a way that confirms one's pre-existing beliefs or hypotheses. This cognitive bias can lead individuals to selectively gather evidence, interpret ambiguous evidence as supportive, and disproportionately recall information that reinforces their views, while downplaying or ignoring contradictory evidence. For instance, a person who believes a certain political candidate is dishonest might primarily seek out news articles that criticize that candidate, and dismiss any positive coverage as 'fake news.' Confirmation bias is not necessarily intentional; it often operates unconsciously, influencing how we perceive the world and make decisions. It can be particularly problematic in critical thinking, scientific inquiry, and legal proceedings, where objective analysis is paramount. Mitigating confirmation bias requires conscious effort to seek out diverse perspectives and critically evaluate all evidence, regardless of whether it aligns with initial assumptions." Which of the following scenarios best illustrates the concept of confirmation bias as described in the passage?
- AA juror changing their verdict based on new, contradictory evidence.
- BA student carefully analyzing both sides of an argument before forming an opinion.
- CA sports fan only remembering the times their team won, despite a losing season.
- DA scientist designing an experiment to disprove a widely accepted theory.
Show answer & explanationAnswer & explanation
Correct answer: C. A sports fan only remembering the times their team won, despite a losing season.
Confirmation bias involves 'disproportionately recall information that reinforces their views, while downplaying or ignoring contradictory evidence.' A sports fan selectively remembering wins and forgetting losses fits this perfectly, reinforcing their belief in their team despite reality.
Why the other options are wrong
- A. This demonstrates an objective response to evidence, overcoming pre-existing notions, which is the opposite of confirmation bias.
- B. This shows critical thinking and open-mindedness, which mitigates confirmation bias.
- D. This demonstrates objective scientific inquiry, seeking to test and potentially falsify hypotheses, which is the opposite of confirmation bias.
Confirmation Bias
Confirmation bias is the tendency to interpret, favor, and recall information in a way that confirms one's pre-existing beliefs or hypotheses.
- Operates unconsciously.
- Leads to selective evidence gathering.
- Can hinder objective decision-making.
Memory trick: Confirming Convictions, Cautious Criticality.