MCAT® ExamCritical Analysis and Reasoning SkillsHard

A political strategist is analyzing voter behavior. They notice that after a major policy announcement, public opinion polls show a significant shift towards supporting the announced policy, even among individuals who previously expressed skepticism. The strategist suspects that many individuals are not genuinely changing their minds, but rather are adjusting their stated opinions to align with what they perceive as the increasingly dominant or socially acceptable viewpoint. This phenomenon is best described as:

  1. AGroupthink
  2. BBandwagon Effect
  3. CSpiral of Silence
  4. DFalse Consensus Effect
Show answer & explanation

Correct answer: C. Spiral of Silence

The 'Spiral of Silence' theory posits that individuals are less likely to express their opinion if they believe it is contrary to the majority opinion, due to a fear of isolation. This leads to the perceived majority opinion becoming even stronger, as dissenting voices are silenced.

Why the other options are wrong

  • A. Groupthink occurs when a cohesive group prioritizes harmony over critical evaluation, leading to irrational decisions, which is different from individual opinion suppression.
  • B. The bandwagon effect is about people doing something primarily because others are doing it, rather than fear of isolation for speaking out.
  • D. False consensus effect is the tendency to overestimate how much others agree with one's own opinions, not the suppression of opinions.

Spiral of Silence

The Spiral of Silence is a political science and mass communication theory stating that individuals are less likely to voice their opinions on controversial issues if they believe they are in the minority, due to a fear of social isolation.

  • Driven by fear of isolation.
  • Perceived public opinion influences individual expression.
  • Leads to a perceived majority growing stronger, silencing dissent.

Memory trick: Silence Spirals When Opinions Falter.

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