CFA Level II ExamFixed IncomeMedium

An investor is considering a 3-year, 4% annual coupon bond with a face value of $1,000. Current 1-year spot rate is 3.0%, and the 2-year forward rate one year from now (1f1) is 3.5%. The investor anticipates that the 1-year forward rate two years from now (2f1) will be 4.0%. Assuming annual compounding, what is the fair price of the bond?

  1. A$1,020.15
  2. B$1,000.00
  3. C$990.25
  4. D$1,010.34
Show answer & explanation

Correct answer: D. $1,010.34

To find the fair price, we need to discount each cash flow at the appropriate spot rate. First, we need to calculate the 2-year and 3-year spot rates using the given forward rates. 1-year spot rate (z1) = 3.0% 2-year spot rate (z2): (1 + z2)^2 = (1 + z1) * (1 + 1f1) = (1 + 0.03) * (1 + 0.035) = 1.03 * 1.035 = 1.06605. So, z2 = sqrt(1.06605) - 1 = 0.032517 or 3.2517% 3-year spot rate (z3): (1 + z3)^3 = (1 + z2)^2 * (1 + 2f1) = 1.06605 * (1 + 0.04) = 1.06605 * 1.04 = 1.108692. So, z3 = (1.108692)^(1/3) - 1 = 0.035043 or 3.5043% Cash flows: Year 1: $40 coupon Year 2: $40 coupon Year 3: $40 coupon + $1,000 face value = $1,040 Bond Price = $40 / (1 + 0.03) + $40 / (1 + 0.032517)^2 + $1,040 / (1 + 0.035043)^3 Bond Price = $40 / 1.03 + $40 / 1.06605 + $1,040 / 1.108692 Bond Price = 38.83495 + 37.52187 + 938.0772 Bond Price = $1,010.434

Why the other options are wrong

  • A. Incorrect calculation of spot rates or discounting.
  • B. Incorrect, as the coupon rate is not equal to the spot rates, so it will not be priced at par.
  • C. Incorrect calculation of spot rates or discounting.

Valuing Bonds Using Spot and Forward Rates

The fair price of a bond can be determined by discounting each of its future cash flows (coupon payments and principal) by the appropriate spot rate corresponding to the timing of that cash flow. Spot rates can be derived from the forward rate curve.

  • Spot rates are the yields of zero-coupon bonds maturing at different points in time.
  • Forward rates are implied future spot rates, indicating the rate for a future period.
  • The relationship between spot and forward rates is (1+Zn)^n = (1+Z1)(1+1f1)...(1+n-1f1).
  • Bond price = Σ (CFt / (1 + Zt)^t).

Memory trick: Spot rates are the 'now' rates, Forwards are the 'future' rates.

More Fixed Income questions