CFA Level IQuantitative MethodsHard

A regression of a stock's monthly returns on market index returns produces the equation: Stock Return = 0.5% + 1.2 x (Market Return), with an R-squared of 0.64. What is the correlation coefficient between the stock's returns and the market's returns?

  1. A0.80
  2. B0.40
  3. C1.20
  4. D0.64
Show answer & explanation

Correct answer: A. 0.80

For simple linear regression with one independent variable, R-squared equals the square of the correlation coefficient. Since the slope coefficient is positive, r = sqrt(0.64) = 0.80.

Why the other options are wrong

  • B. This understates the correlation; it does not correspond to any correct calculation from the given data.
  • C. This is the slope coefficient (beta), not the correlation coefficient.
  • D. This is R-squared itself, not the correlation coefficient.

R-Squared and Correlation

In simple linear regression, R-squared represents the proportion of variation in the dependent variable explained by the independent variable and equals the square of the correlation coefficient between the two variables.

  • R^2 = r^2 in simple (one-variable) linear regression
  • r = sqrt(R^2), with sign matching the slope coefficient's sign
  • R^2 ranges from 0 to 1; higher values indicate better model fit

Memory trick: Square root R-squared, borrow the slope's sign.

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